China’s House of Cards

October 28, 2022

By John Del Vecchio and Brad Lamensdorf

China is imploding.

The country’s High Yield Bond index is in freefall.

This is a harbinger of bad news to come.

The index has hit fresh lows on the chart below.

This comes at a time when the government is becoming less transparent in its reporting.

As the charts below illustrate, the Chinese have significantly cut the number of economic statistical series that it reports.

Not just a few mind you. Thousands of statistical studies.

This comes at a time when GDP growth is slowing.

Here’s a compelling analysis by the FT at just how poorly China is performing and the massive investment required to generate GDP growth ($8 in investment to generate $1 in growth).

To learn more about how these indicators can help manage risk in your portfolio, book a call with Brad. You may book a call here.


Lamensdorf Market Timing Report is a publication intended to give analytical research to the investment community. Lamensdorf Market Timing Report is not rendering investment advice based on investment portfolios and is not registered as an investment advisor in any jurisdiction. Information included in this report is derived from many sources believed to be reliable but no representation is made that it is accurate or complete, or that errors, if discovered, will be corrected. The authors of this report have not audited the financial statements of the companies discussed and do not represent that they are serving as independent public accountants with respect to them. They have not audited the statements and therefore do not express an opinion on them. The authors have also not conducted a thorough review of the financial statements as defined by standards established by the AICPA.

This report is not intended, and shall not constitute, and nothing herein should be construed as, an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities referred to in this report, or a “buy” or “sell” recommendation. Rather, this research is intended to identify issues portfolio managers should be aware of for them to assess their own opinion of positive or negative potential. The LMTR newsletter is NOT affiliated with any ETF’s.  Active Alts  is affiliated with Lamensdorf Market Timing Report. While LMTR uses charts from SentimenTrader, they do not have a financial arrangement with SentimenTrader  Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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