A Negative Yield Curve Creates Negative Returns

The yield curve from 1 month to 10 years is the widest in history. The 2-year to 10-year yield curve is not much better. Typically, long periods of negative yield curves tend to be very negative for markets on a forward-looking basis. To learn more about how these indicators can help manage risk in your…

Philly Fed Index Plunges

The Philly Fed Manufacturing Index is in free-fall. The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Manufacturing Index rates the relative level of general business conditions in Philadelphia. A level above zero on the Index indicates improving conditions; below indicates worsening conditions. The data is compiled from a survey of about 250 manufacturers in the Philadelphia Federal Reserve district….

Major Bearish Divergence

A significant bearish divergence is forming. It’s time to tighten stops and add to hedges. As the chart below illustrates, the McClellan Oscillator has put in a bearish divergence. The oscillator measures market breadth. Breadth has started to deteriorate despite the indexes pushing higher. Recent divergences have foretold painful downward pressure in stock indexes and…