Low Bearish Stock Market Sentiment Means Investors Should Remain Cautious

We use investor sentiment as a contrarian indicator of the direction of the stock market. And this week’s low bearish sentiment means investors should be cautious. The most recent Investor Intelligence Bears/Bulls poll reports bearish sentiment at a very low 17.2%.  Virtually unchanged from the previous report.  Bearish sentiment below 20% historically means the market has not bottomed for broad buying.

Low Bearish Stock Market Sentiment Means Investors Should Remain Cautious
Low Bearish Stock Market Sentiment Means Investors Should Remain Cautious

Meanwhile the difference between bullish and bearish sentiment narrowed to +30.4%, which was better than previous polling but still in the cautious zone (see chart). Bullish sentiment tumbled all the way down to 47.6%, from 55.3%, but given high market volatility and low bearish sentiment we believe caution remains the watchword.

See Previous Sentiment Updates:

 

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